UFC 96 takes to the octagon from C olumbus, Ohio on Saturday. For the second fight in a row, no title belt will be on the line. However, the co-main event is much more enticing than that of UFC 95 so I suppose it will be worth having to pay to watch this card.
There are many solid fights on this card but the co-main event is really the only two stand out fights. The fight between Shane Carwin and Gabriel Gonzaga is absolutely huge for the UFC for a multitude of reasons.
The biggest reason is that Shane Carwin (along with Cain Velasquez) is the heavyweight division’s great new hope.
Carwin has never been off the prelim card, let alone been part of a co-main event at a UFC PPV. Gonzaga has been in front of crowds like this before and fought against some of the best heavyweights in the world—once for a title. It will be interesting to see how Carwin reacts.
The UFC has pegged Carwin as the next big thing. He has the size and potential to be a true challenger in the division. He has had two tune-up fights to get ready for this moment.
The question is: is he ready?
The main event is essentially a title eliminator. Unfortunately, it only works that way for one of the participants. Jackson and Jardine should be a solid scrap, but this fight is all about Jackson.
If Jackson wins, he gets another shot at the title. If he loses, Jardine will most likely get passed over by Lyoto Machida. This match-up still rubs me the wrong way to a certain extent, but it should be an entertaining fight so I can’t say I won’t enjoy watching it.
Wherever the fight goes Gonzaga is going to have to take a lot of risks to win this fight.
This is another very tough fight to call. I think the result will ultimately come down to whether or not Carwin is mentally and emotionally ready for this. I’m going to go out on a limb again and pick Carwin to win by TKO in the third round.
This should set up Carwin nicely to be about two fights away from a title shot. Gonzaga won’t be in danger of losing his contract but this would be a significant blow to his hopes of a title shot any time soon.
Here are the SportsCityLine Fight previews:
Quinton Jackson v. Keith Jardine: Jackson is 29-7, 4-1 in the UFC, with 21 wins by stoppage. He is a wrestler with good boxing and heavy hands. Jardine is 14-4-1, 6-3 in the UFC, with eight wins by stoppage. He is a kickboxer with some grappling ability.
This fight looks closer on paper than it really should be. I think Jackson has the advantage wherever the fight takes place. Jardine’s only advantage is his unorthodox style that I’m sure Jackson is preparing for diligently.
Jackson has the better hands, the harder hands, and the ability to control where the fight takes place. If Jardine is smart he’ll use leg kicks early and often in the hopes that Jackson didn’t learn his lesson from the Forrest Griffin fight.
I can’t fathom a scenario where Jardine wins, unless Jackson is not mentally prepared for this fight (which is highly unlikely after watching his last fight).
For those reasons I’m picking Jackson to win by KO in the first round.
Shane Carwin v. Gabriel Gonzaga: Carwin is 10-0, 2-0 in the UFC, with all 10 wins by stoppage. He is a wrestler with heavy hands. Gonzaga is 10-3, 6-2 in the UFC, with all 10 wins by stoppage. He is a BJJ artist with developing Muay Thai and is also very powerful.
This is a very intriguing match up. Normally Gonzaga can bully his opponents around even though he doesn’t have technically-superior wrestling. This fight could be totally be controlled by Carwin, who is bigger than Gonzaga and has superior wrestling.
If Carwin takes this fight to the ground Gonzaga has the BJJ to still compete. And if Carwin decides to keep the fight on the feet I think Gonzaga has the technically superior striking with enough power to end the fight.
My pick for fight of the night goes to Shane Carwin v. Gabriel Gonzaga. My pick for submission of the night goes to Shane Nelson. My pick for KO of the night goes to Quinton Jackson.
This should be interesting. Hope you enjoy the fights! Stay tuned to Sports City Line for all the updates.